These are plots of NAAPS aerosol optical depth CONTOURED AT VERY LOW CONCENTRATIONS.
I would believe the axes of the plumes and sharper gradients, but not the absolute values.
I have contoured them at low values to see if anything is reaching Guam.
2005 has the highest smoke optical depths.
Detectable amounts of smoke reached the U.S. that year. Note too the westward advection of smoke along 10N in the
last few days of the loop